Integration of functional capacity to medically necessary, time-sensitive scoring system ======================================================================================== * Ahmet K. Koltka * Müşerref B. Dinçer * Mehmet Güzel * Mukadder Orhan-Sungur * Tülay Özkan-Seyhan * Demet Altun * Ali Fuat Kaan Gök * Mehmet İlhan ## A prospective observational study ## Abstract **Objectives:** To evaluate 2 new modifications to medically necessary, time-sensitive (MeNTS) scoring systems integrating functional capacity assessment in estimating intensive care unit (ICU) requirements. **Methods:** This prospective observational study included patients undergoing elective surgeries between July 2021 and January 2022. The MeNTS scores and our 2 modified scores: MeNTS-METs (integrated Duke activity status index [DASI] as metabolic equivalents [METs]) and MeNTS-DASI-5Q (integrated modified DASI [M-DASI] as 5 questions) were calculated. The patients’ ICU requirements (group ICU+ and group ICU-), DASIs, patient-surgery-anesthesia characteristics, hospital stay lengths, rehospitalizations, postoperative complications, and mortality were recorded. **Results:** This study analyzed 718 patients. The MeNTS, MeNTS-METs, and MeNTS-DASI-5Q scores were higher in group ICU+ than in group ICU- (*p*<0.001). Group ICU+ had longer operation durations and hospital stay lengths (*p*<0.001), lower DASI scores (*p*<0.001), and greater hospital readmissions, postoperative complications, and mortality (*p*<0.001). The MeNTS-METs and MeNTS-DASI-5Q scores better predicted ICU requirement with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.806 and 0.804, than the original MeNTS (AUC=0.782). **Conclusion:** The 5-questionnaire M-DASI is easy to calculate and, when added to a triage score, is as reliable as the original DASI for predicting postoperative ICU requirements. Keywords: * intensive care units * metabolic equivalent * triage * elective surgical procedures **C**oronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) diagnoses in patients with comorbidities are associated with severe COVID-19 illness that requires intensive care unit (ICU) care.1,2 Per global precautions, during the first surge of the COVID-19 pandemic, health authorities in several countries restricted elective surgeries to preserve resources for these critical patients and patients requiring urgent/emergent surgeries. Elective surgeries began to be scheduled after the first peak. The pandemic is now slowing, with fewer new COVID-19 diagnoses, after several surges in peak patient numbers. Surgical prioritization is challenging under both surging and slowing pandemic conditions. During a pandemic, neither the possibility of overextending limited resources to cover elective cases, jeopardizing the care of infected patients, nor the possibility of disease advancement due to surgery postponement is desired. Furthermore, the post-pandemic era also requires a prioritization scoring system since a surgery backlog is created during the mandatory cancellation and restrictive capacity periods. Several guidelines have been published for surgical decision and triage.3,4 The medically necessary, time sensitive (MeNTS) scoring system (Appendix 1) comprising parameters evaluating procedure, disease, and patient factors, was proposed by Prachand et al5 and promoted by the American College of Surgeons. Despite some improvements, patient characteristics relating to intensive care and hospital bed occupation and postoperative outcomes were not elucidated in these surgical studies.6-10 As perioperative physicians, anesthesiologists, and intensive care specialists should be involved in resource planning. We had previously published a significant relationship between high MeNTS scores and moderate to severe outcomes. We speculated that incorporating a cardiovascular functional capacity parameter could improve the scoring system.11 Therefore, this observational, prospective study, carried out under the semi-restrictive status of our institution following the third surge of the pandemic, aimed to compare the original MeNTS scoring system with modified MeNTS scoring systems incorporating functional capacity for the primary outcome of ICU requirement. Our secondary outcomes were hospital stay length, hospital readmission, postoperative complications, and mortality. ## Methods This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Istanbul Medical Faculty, Istanbul, Turkey (protocol number: 2021/1117) and was carried out in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki principles. Written informed consent was obtained from all patients prior to participation. This study followed the strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline.12 The study was carried out in a university hospital, a tertiary center with approximately 25.000 surgeries/year in the pre-pandemic era. Out of 8 ICUs, 4 with a total capacity of 38 beds are managed primarily by anesthesiologists who care for adult postoperative surgical and medical patients. The study period was from July 2021 to January 2022, between the third and fourth surges of the pandemic for our country. The total number of operating rooms were 30 and ICU beds were 25 allocated to surgery during this period. A pandemic ICU also operated with 13 beds employing 8 anesthesiologists/day during this period. All patients undergoing operation were screened and enrolled if eligible after consenting. This study included elective cases, and case priority was classified according to the need to carry out surgery following admission as urgent-elective (>24 hours but <2 weeks), essential-elective (within 1-3 months), and discretionary elective (>3 months).13 Emergent cases that had to be operated on within 24 hours of admission were excluded from this study. Patients aged <18 years or with whom communication was impossible were also excluded. All enrolled patients were screened for COVID-19 with a symptoms questionnaire, and the nasopharynx was sampled for a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test. We recorded the patients’ demographic data, surgery characteristics (including case priority and surgery type), anesthesia characteristics, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status class, malignancy status, smoking history, PCR-test-based COVID-19 screening results, and, if present, the clinical symptoms and signs of COVID-19 (namely, fever, cough, and dyspnea). The MeNTS scores were calculated for each patient. A senior surgeon on the surgical team carried out the surgical evaluation, which was confirmed by the study surgeon (AFKG). We computed Duke activity status index (DASI) scores to incorporate functional capacity data into the patient domain in MeNTS scoring.14 However, the 12-item DASI questionnaire is not a scoring system that could be divided into 5 or fewer parts and added easily to the patient domain of MeNTS because of the non-uniform weight of each item. Therefore, the DASI was incorporated in 2 ways. In the first method, functional capacity computed by DASI was converted into metabolic equivalents (METs) using the formula: ([0.43×DASI]+9.6)/3.5.15 In this MeNTS-METs scoring system, an additional row categorized according to METs values was inserted into patient factors (5 points= <4 METs; 4 points= ≥4 and <7 METs; 2 points= ≥7 and <9.89 METs; and one point= 9.89 METs, Appendix 2). In the second method, a simplified (modified) DASI comprising 5 questions (M-DASI-5Q) was calculated as suggested by Riedel et al.16 In the MeNTS-DASI-5Q scoring system, the additional row was based on the number of questions answered positively: 5 points= none/one positive answer; 4 points= 2 positive answers; 3 points= 3 positive answers; 2 points= 4 positive answers; and one point= all questions answered positively (Appendix 3). Anesthesia method (general, neuraxial, and peripheral nerve block), operation duration, ICU requirement (planned or unplanned), total hospital stay length, and rehospitalization were recorded. Planned ICU admissions were decided by the consultant anesthesiologist in charge of that operating theatre according to the patients’ comorbidities and surgical characteristics. Unplanned admissions immediately after the operation due to intraoperative complications were decided by the same consultant. Unplanned ICU admissions from the ward due to postoperative complications were decided by the consultant anesthesiologist in charge of the ICU. Postoperative complications were analyzed and classified in severity according to Clavien-Dindo (CLD) classification.17 Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs), major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), mortality within the first postoperative month, and postoperative COVID-19 infection within 14 days were recorded.18,19 ### Statistical analysis In this exploratory study, we attempted to screen and approach all cases since the period between the third and fourth surges was unknown. Therefore, no sample size calculation was possible. Patients were classified into 2 groups as group ICU+ and group ICU- according to their postoperative ICU requirements. Data are expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD), median (interquartile range [IQR]), or number and precentages (%). The Shapiro-Wilk and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests were used to assess the normality of quantitative data distributions. Student’s t-test was used to compare normally distributed data, while the Mann-Whitney-U test was used to compare non-normally distributed data. Where applicable, the mean difference and its 95% confidence interval (CI) are also given. Chi-square tests were used to compare qualitative data. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were created. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the predictive accuracy of MeNTS, MeNTS-METs, and MeNTS-DASI-5Q scores for the ICU requirement. Receiver operating characteristic curves were interpreted according to their AUC: poor= 0.60-0.69; fair= 0.70-0.79, good= 0.80-0.89; and excellent= ≥0.90. Statistical analysis was carried out using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, version 21.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). ## Results This prospective study screened 789 patients, of which 718 were included in the analysis (Figure 1). Case priority was listed as urgent-elective for 151 (21.0%), essential elective for 458 (63.8%), and discretionary elective for 109 (15.2%) patients. Patients’ surgical characteristics are shown in Table 1. For 22 (3.1%) patients, COVID-19 PCR tests were negative preoperatively but positive postoperatively with repeated testing; 11 had a COVID-19 infection during their hospital stay, of which 5 needed ICU care, and 3 died. A total of 11 of 22 patients were infected within the first 14 days after discharge; and 2 were rehospitalized and discharged without complications. ![Figure 1](http://smj.org.sa/https://smj.org.sa/content/smj/44/9/921/F1.medium.gif) [Figure 1](http://smj.org.sa/content/44/9/921/F1) Figure 1 - Flow diagram. View this table: [Table 1](http://smj.org.sa/content/44/9/921/T1) Table 1 - Patients’ surgical characteristics. The participants’ median age was 48 (35-62) years, their mean body mass index (BMI) was 26.96±5.21 kg/m2, and 287 (40%) were male. Their mean MeNTS score was 49.93±8.30, and their median DASI score was 44.70 (26.95-58.20). The mean MeNTS-METs score was 52.33±8.92 and the mean MeNTS-DASI-5Q score was 52.45±8.89. General anesthesia was carried out for 594 (82.7%) patients, while neuraxial anesthesia was used alone for 98 (13.6%) patients and peripheral nerve blocks was used for 26 (3.6%) patients. The median operation time was 110 (65-180) minutes. The group ICU+ comprised 178 (24.8%) patients, of which 12 were unplanned; 6 were admitted due to intraoperative complications, while the other 6 were admitted from the ward due to postoperative complications. Table 2 compares demographics, preoperative and intraoperative characteristics, DASI scores, the 3 different MeNTS scores with subdomains (procedure, disease, and patient factors), total hospital stay lengths, and rehospitalization rates in goup ICU+ and group ICU-. View this table: [Table 2](http://smj.org.sa/content/44/9/921/T2) Table 2 - Comparison of group intensive care unit (-) and group intensive care unit (+). When the subdomains of all 3 types of MeNTS scores were compared between groups ICU+ and ICU-, patients requiring an ICU stay had more complicated procedures with increased procedure domain scoring, operations requiring urgency with decreased disease domain scoring, and concomitant diseases with increased patient domain scoring (Table 2). Since the MeNTS-METs and MeNTS-DASI-5Q scores only change due to patient domain scoring, group ICU+ had higher patient domain scores for both MeNTS-METs and MeNTS-DASI-5Q (Table 2). Figure 2 shows the ROC curves representing the carrying out of MeNTS, MeNTS-METs, and MeNTS-DASI-5Q scores for predicting ICU requirements. Area under the curves were good for the MeNTS-METs (AUC=0.806) and MeNTS-DASI-5Q (AUC=0.804) scores but fair for the original MeNTS score (AUC=0.782). ![Figure 2](http://smj.org.sa/https://smj.org.sa/content/smj/44/9/921/F2.medium.gif) [Figure 2](http://smj.org.sa/content/44/9/921/F2) Figure 2 - Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve determining the carrying out of MeNTS, MeNTS-METs, and MeNTS-DASI-5Q score for predicting ICU requirement. Area under the curve (AUC)=0.782 (95% CI: [0.742-0.822]) for MeNTS score. Area under the curve=0.806 (95% CI: [0.769-0.843]) for MeNTS-METs, and AUC=0.804 (95% CI [0.766-0.841]) for MeNTS-DASI-5Q. Postoperative complication severity, PCCs, MACCEs, and mortality in groups ICU+ and ICU- are shown in Table 3. Postoperative pulmonary complications were observed in 44 (6.1%) patients, of which 13 had 2 or more pulmonary complications, while postoperative MACCEs were observed in 22 (3.1%) patients. Three patients had pulmonary embolisms: 2 during their ICU stay and one on the ward on the ninth postoperative day, necessitating admittance to the ICU. View this table: [Table 3](http://smj.org.sa/content/44/9/921/T3) Table 3 - Comparison of group intensive care unit (-) and group intensive care unit (+). Median MeNTS scores were higher in patients with PPCs (58 [52.50-62] vs. 50 [44-55], *p*<0.001) and with MACCEs (57 [51-60] vs. 50 [44-56], *p*<0.001). The MeNTS, MeNTS-METs, and MeNTS-DASI-5Q subdomains were analysed according to the presence of PPCs and MACCEs (Table 4). According to Clavien-Dindo (CLD) classification, the total MeNTS scores were higher in patients with CLD ≥II than CLD