Table 3

- Predictor of mortality or ICU admission within 72 hr among acute pancreatitis cases.

VariableTotal patients (N=68)No mortality or requirement of ICU (n=59)Mortality or ICU admission (n=9)P-value
Age (mean, SD)68 (46.1, 16.0)59(45.7,16.7)9 (48.8, 10.1)0.589
Male49 (72.1%)41 (69.5%)8 (88.5%)0.227
Female19 (27.9%)18 (30.5%)1 (11.1%)
Diabetes mellitus18 (26.5%)15 (25.4%)3 (33.5)0.616
Hypertension16 (23.5%)12 (20.3%)4 (44.4.0%)0.112
Chronic heart disease3 (4.5%)1 (1.7%)2 (22.2%)<0.05
Ischemic heart disease3 (4.4%)2 (3.4%)1 (11.1%)0.293
Chronic renal disease3 (4.4%)2 (3.4%)1 (11.1%)0.293
Hyperlipidemia8 (12.1%)7 (12.3%)1 (11.1%)0.920
Alcohol consumption6 (9.8%)5 (9.6%)1 (11.1%)0.889
Gallbladder stone15 (22.1%)13 (22.0%)2 (22.2%)0.796
BMI (mean,+SD)(29.8+6.7)7 (28.1+5.0)1 (41.8+0.1)0.041
BMI of >30 kg/m24 (50.0%)3 (42.9%)1 (100.0)0.285
Pulse rate >109 beats/min4 (5.9%)2 (3.4%)2 (22.2%)<0.05
Systolic blood pressure mmHg (mean, SD)66(137.0+21.2)57(135.2+19.5)9 (148.1+28.6)0.090
Temperature of >38°C4 (5.9%)2 (3.4%)2 (22.2%)<0.05
Required narcotic analgesia13 (19.1%)12 (20.3%)1 (11.1%)0.512
Required two or more antiemetics3 (4.4%)3 (5.1%)0 (0%)0.489
Abdominal guarding or rigidity2 (2.9%)2 (3.4%)0 (0%)0.575
Lipase level IU/L(Mean, SD)68(156.1,46.4)59(153.0,47.0)9 (175.6, 39.2)0.177
Amylase level U/L (Mean, SD)29 (100.0, 51.5)24 (97.8, 51.7)5 (110.6, 55.0)0.622
Rebound tenderness3 (4.5%)3 (5.1%)0 (0%)0.514
PH of <7.356 (31.6%)4 (25.0%)2 (66.7%)0.154
WBC 109/L (mean, SD)66 (10.0, 4.4)58 (9.8, 4.1)8 (11.5, 6.2)0.317
WBC 109/L (<3.0 or >14.9)7 (10.3%)5 (8.5%)2 (22.2%)0.206
AST IU/L (Mean, SD)61(33.4,39.9)54(31.3,38.5)7 (50.1, 49.7)0.244
AST of >100 IU/L3 (4.4%)2 (3.4%)1 (11.1%)0.293
ALT IU/L (mean, SD)58 (43.5, 78.4)52(37.0,61.0)6 (99.9, 166.9)0.063
Calcium of <8 g/dL20 (29.4%)17 (28.8%)3 (33.3%)0.782
Bicarbonate of <21mEq/L5 (7.4%)5 (8.5%)0 (0.0%)0.364
Hematocrit of <30% or >45.9%21 (30.9%)18 (30.5%)3 (33.3%)0.864
Urea mmol/L (Mean, SD)(4.2, 1.9)46 (4.1, 2.0)8 (4.8, 1.5)0.374
Urea (>8.92) mmol/L1 (1.5%)1 (1.7%)0 (0.0)0.694
Pleural effusion4 (7.8%)3 (6.8%)1 (14.3%)0.495

ICU: intensive care unit, SD: standard division, BMI: body mass index, WBC: white blood cells, AST: aspartate transaminase ALT: alanine transaminase LDH: alkaline phosphatase, ICU: intensive care unit