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Research ArticleOriginal Article
Open Access

Impact of change in the Naples prognostic score after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy on survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients

Haowen Zhang, Xin Xiao, Siyuan Luan, Xiaokun Li, Shangwei Sun and Yong Yuan
Saudi Medical Journal May 2024, 45 (5) 481-489; DOI: https://doi.org/10.15537/smj.2024.45.5.20230908
Haowen Zhang
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
MD
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Xin Xiao
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
MD
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Siyuan Luan
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
MD
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Xiaokun Li
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
MD
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Shangwei Sun
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
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Yong Yuan
From the Department of Thoracic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China.
MD, PhD.
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  • For correspondence: [email protected]
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    Figure 1

    - (A) Flow diagram of the study. (B) The number of patients with different Naples prognostic scores (NPSs) before and after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. (C) Kaplan–Meier curves for overall survival (OS) in the elevated NPS and non-elevated NPS groups. (D) Kaplan–Meier curves for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the elevated NPS and non-elevated NPS groups.

Tables

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    Table 1

    - The grading standard of the Naples prognostic score.

    Grade (Points)Serum albumin (g/dL)Total cholesterol (mg/dL)NLRLMR
    0≥4.0>180≤2.96>4.44
    1<4.0≤180>2.96≤4.44
    • LMR: lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, NLR: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio

    • View popup
    Table 2

    - Baseline characteristics of the patients (N=232).

    VariablesElevated NPS group (n=105)Non-elevated NPS group (n=127)P-value
    n (%)n (%)
    Age (year), median (±SD)61.6 ± 7.562.1 ± 7.70.606
    BMI, median (±SD)   
    Before NAT22.6 ± 3.222.3 ± 2.90.414
    Before surgery22.5 ± 3.322.5 ± 3.00.947
    Gender  0.125
    Male84 (80.0)111 (87.4) 
    Female21(20.0)16 (12.6) 
    Tumor type  NA
    SCC105 (100)127 (100) 
    Tumor location  0.458
    Upper12 (11.4)9 (7.1) 
    Middle66 (62.9)80 (63.0) 
    Lower27 (25.7)38 (29.9) 
    Tumor length  0.819
    >3 cm27 (25.7)31 (24.4) 
    ≤3 cm78 (74.3)96 (75.6) 
    ypTNM stage  0.864
    I59 (56.2)68 (53.5) 
    II12 (11.4)17 (13.4) 
    III29 (27.6)38 (29.9) 
    IV5 (4.8)4 (3.1) 
    cTNM stage  0.211
    II19 (18.1)13 (10.2) 
    III66 (62.9)85 (66.9) 
    IV20 (19.0)29 (22.8) 
    Tumor regression score  0.386
    046 (43.8)53 (41.7) 
    112 (11.4)23 (18.1) 
    242 (40.0)42* (33.1) 
    35 (4.8)9 (7.1) 
    pCR41 (39.0)50 (39.4)0.960
    Number of days in hospital, median (IQR), days15 (13-17)14 (13-15)0.671
    Time between NACR and surgery, median (IQR), days70 (63-81)68 (60-87)0.230
    • BMI: body mass index, IQR: interquartile range, LOS: length of stay, NAT: neoadjuvant therapy, pCR: pathological complete regression, SD: standard deviation, SCC: Squamous cell carcinoma

    • View popup
    Table 3

    - Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinicopathological factors linked to overall survival

    VariablesUnivariate analysisMultivariate analysis
    HR (95% CI)P-valueHR (95% CI)P-value
    Change in NPS after NACR    
    Elevated NPS group versus non-elevated NPS group1.631(1.061-2.507)0.0261.868 (1.063-2.646)0.036
    Pre-NACR NPS    
    ≥3 versus <30.940 (0.589-1.501)0.796  
    Post-NACR NPS    
    ≥3 versus <31.750 (1.140-2.687)0.0101.072 (0.622-1.848)0.803
    Pre-NACR serum albumin (g/dL)    
    <4 versus ≥41.088(0.658-1.797)0.742  
    Pre-NACR total cholesterol (mg/dL)    
    ≤180 versus >1801.010(0.657-1.533)0.963  
    Pre-NACR NLR    
    >2.96 versus ≤2.960.806(0.505-1.287)0.366  
    Pre-NACR LMR    
    ≤4.44 versus <4.441.057(0.639-1.746)0.830  
    Post-NACR serum albumin (g/dL)    
    <4 versus ≥41.154(0.858-1.897)0.527  
    Post-NACR total cholesterol (mg/dL)    
    ≤180 versus >1801.284(0.837-1.804)0.253  
    Post-NACR NLR    
    >2.96 versus ≤2.961.162(0.749-1.84)0.502  
    Post-NACR LMR    
    ≤4.44 versus <4.440.541(0.171-1.715)0.497  
    Age (year)    
    ≥60 versus <601.093 (0.700-1.708)0.696  
    Gender    
    Male versus female1.962 (0.947-4.067)0.07  
    Tumor length    
    >3 cm versus ≤3 cm1.861 (1.190-2.910)0.0061.636 (1.013-2.641)0.044
    BMI (kg/m2)    
    Before NAT (≤22 versus >22)1.483 (0.966-2.277)0.072  
    Before surgery (≤22 versus >22)1.439 (0.938-2.208)0.096  
    Tumor location    
    Ut versus Mt/Lt1.034 (0.499-2.144)0.927  
    ypTNM stage    
    III-IV versus I-II4.127 (2.666-6.391)<0.0013.89 (2.475-6.115)<0.001
    cTNM stage    
    III-IV versus II1.010 (0.547-1.867)0.974  
    • HR: hazard ratio, LMR: lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, NPS: naples prognostic score, NACR: neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, NLR: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, CI: confidence interval

    • View popup
    Table 4

    - Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinicopathological factors linked to recurrence-free survival

    VariablesUnivariate analysis Multivariate analysisP value
    HR (95% CI)P-valueHR (95% CI)
    Change in NPS after NACR    
    Elevated NPS group versus non-elevated NPS group1.497 (1.002-2.235)0.0491.709 (1.291-2.854)0.029
    Pre-NACR NPS    
    ≥3 versus <30.855 (0.548-1.334)0.490  
    Post-NACR NPS    
    ≥3 versus <31.475 (0.986-2.205)0.058  
    Pre-NACR serum albumin (g/dL)    
    <4 versus ≥41.121(0.702-1.792)0.632  
    Pre-NACR total cholesterol (mg/dL)    
    ≤180 versus >1800.980(0.656-1.464)0.920  
    Pre-NACR NLR    
    >2.96 versus ≤2.960.892(0.579-1.374)0.605  
    Pre-NACR LMR    
    ≤4.44 versus <4.440.932(0.587-1.479)0.764  
    Post-NACR serum albumin (g/dL)    
    <4 versus ≥41.038(0.655-1.589)0.720  
    Post-NACR total cholesterol (mg/dL)    
    ≤180 versus >1801.055(0.707-1.575)0.793  
    Post-NACR NLR    
    >2.96 versus ≤2.961.102(0.732-1.659)0.641  
    Post-NACR LMR    
    ≤4.44 versus <4.440.615(0.195-1.943)0.408  
    Age (year)    
    ≥60 versus >600.929 (0.616-1.402)0.726  
    Gender    
    Male versus female1.582 (0.844-2.965)0.153  
    Tumor length    
    >3 cm versus ≤3 cm2.016 (1.326-3.064)0.0011.96 (1.247-3.08)0.004
    BMI (kg/m2)    
    Before NAT (≤22 versus >22)1.406 (0.941-2.099)0.096  
    Before surgery (≤22 versus >22)1.452 (0.973-2.166)0.068  
    Tumour location    
    Ut versus Mt/Lt1.052 (0.530-2.090)0.885  
    ypTNM stage    
    III-IV versus I-II3.529 (2.351-5.298)0<0.0013.361 (2.2-5.135)<0.001
    cTNM stage    
    III-IV versus II1.200 (0.654-2.200)0.556  
    • HR: hazard ratio, LMR: lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, NPS: naples prognostic score, NACR: neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, NLR: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio

    • View popup
    Table 5

    - Morbidity and mortality in elevated Naples prognostic score (NPS) and non-elevated NPS groups.

    VariablesElevated NPS group (n=105)Non-elevated NPS group (n=127)P-value
    n (%)n (%)
    Anastomotic leakage8 (7.6)7 (5.5)0.516
    Anastomotic stricture (CD grade 2)6 (5.7)1 (0.8)0.029
    Vocal cord injury (CD type 1)9 (8.5)10 (7.8)0.811
    Pneumonia30 (28.6)34 (26.8)0.212
    Respiratory failure (CD grades 3–4)3 (2.9)3 (2.4)0.813
    Cardiac complications (CD grades 1–2)1 (1.0)3 (2.4)0.412
    ICU stay7 (6.7)6 (4.7)0.789
    Clavien–Dindo grade   
    CD I–II17 (16.2)12 (9.5)0.122
    CD III–V10 (9.5)12 (9.5)0.985
    Postoperative LOS, median (IQR), days11 (9-13)10 (9-12)0.528
    30-Day mortality3 (2.9)1 (0.8)0.228
    30-Day readmissions2 (1.9)1 (0.8)0.528
    • CD: Clavien–Dindo classification system, ICU: intensive care unit, IQR: interquartile range, LOS: length of stay

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Impact of change in the Naples prognostic score after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy on survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients
Haowen Zhang, Xin Xiao, Siyuan Luan, Xiaokun Li, Shangwei Sun, Yong Yuan
Saudi Medical Journal May 2024, 45 (5) 481-489; DOI: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.5.20230908

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Impact of change in the Naples prognostic score after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy on survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients
Haowen Zhang, Xin Xiao, Siyuan Luan, Xiaokun Li, Shangwei Sun, Yong Yuan
Saudi Medical Journal May 2024, 45 (5) 481-489; DOI: 10.15537/smj.2024.45.5.20230908
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  • Naples prognostic score
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