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Research ArticleOriginal Article
Open Access

Incidence, clinical predictors, and clinical effect of new-onset atrial fibrillation in myocardial infarction patients

A retrospective cohort study

Fayez Elshaer, Abdulelah H. Alsaeed, Sultan N. Alfehaid, Abdulaziz S. Alshahrani, Abdulrahman H. Alduhayyim and Ayman M. Alsaleh
Saudi Medical Journal August 2022, 43 (8) 933-940; DOI: https://doi.org/10.15537/smj.2022.43.8.20220349
Fayez Elshaer
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
MSc, PhD
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  • For correspondence: [email protected]
Abdulelah H. Alsaeed
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
MD
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Sultan N. Alfehaid
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
MD
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Abdulaziz S. Alshahrani
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
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Abdulrahman H. Alduhayyim
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
MD
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Ayman M. Alsaleh
From the Department of Cardiac Sciences (Elshaer, Alsaleh); from the College of Medicine (Elshaer, Alsaeed, Alfehaid, Alshahrani, Alduhayyim), King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia; and from the Department of Cardiology (Elshaer), National Heart Institute, Cairo, Egypt.
MSc, FRCP
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    Figure 1

    - Data collection pathway. *Inclusion criteria: I) King Khaled University Hospital (KKUH) patients who were admitted for primary treatment of MI as inpatients; II) admission between January 2015 to January 2020. **Exclusion criteria: I) patients who had a confirmed pervious diagnosis of AF before the development of MI; II) patients who died at presentation. ICD: International Classification of Diseases, MI: myocardial infarction. ER: Emergency room, PCI: percutaneous coronary intervention, AF: atrial fibrillation

Tables

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    Table 1

    - Categorical baseline clinical and demographic characteristics.

    VariablesDevelopment of NOAF95% CI
     n (%)YesTotalP-valueORLowerUpper
    Age at visit (binned)
    56+146 (56.4)19 (86.4)165 (58.7)0.015.7561.50721.99
    Gender
    Male213 (82.2)19 (86.4)232 (82.6)0.451.6870.4316.601
    Body mass index
    >3080 (30.9)7 (31.8)87 (31.0)0.460.6840.2511.867
    Smoking status
    Smoker98 (37.8)8 (36.4)106 (37.7)0.751.1690.4443.079
    Hypertension
    Yes144 (55.6)16 (72.7)160 (56.9)0.2181.9830.6675.89
    Diabetes
    Yes163 (62.9)13 (59.1)176 (62.6)0.0590.3460.1151.042
    Type of MI
    STEMI163 (62.9)10 (45.5)173 (61.6)0.230.5750.2311.430
    NSTEMI96 (37.1)12 (54.5)108 (38.4)
    Presentation timing
    Late57 (22.0)5 (22.7)62 (22.1)0.721.2200.4103.635
    Presenting heart rate
    >10045 (17.4)3 (13.6)48 (17.1)0.781.2080.3204.563
    Follow-up outcome and complications
    Developed complications104 (40.2)11 (50.0)115 (40.9)0.400.6730.2671.695
    Mortality
    Died during hospitalizing or follow-up17 (6.6)5 (22.7)22 (7.8)0.0314.6291.15218.593

    Values are presented as number and percentage (%). OR: odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, NOAF: new-onset atrial fibrillation, MI: myocardial infarction, STEMI: ST elevation myocardial infarction, NSTEMI: non-ST elevation myocardial infarction

      • View popup
      Table 2

      - Quantitative baseline clinical and demographic characteristics.

      VariablesDevelopment of NOAF95% CI
      NoYesP-valueLowerUpper
      Full sample
      Age at visit58.1±13.066.6±12.00.002-13.98-3.07
      BMI27.9±4.627.6±4.40.769-1.702.30
      Presenting heart rate84.6±19.086.1±20.00.715-10.086.92
      Presenting systolic blood pressure137.1±25.0138.1±25.00.846-11.969.81
      Presenting diastolic blood pressure79.1±15.080.3±18.00.728-7.845.48
      B-type natriuretic peptide2497.0±4122.06286.3±8333.80.046-7514.07-64.57
      Troponin I9686.9±15788.68288.0±15494.30.690-5495.608293.58
      Creatinine105.8±81.9172.3±215.20.164-162.4229.34
      Sodium135.5±11.3135.9±3.60.875-5.164.40
      Potassium4.3±0.64.4±0.70.481-0.380.18
      Urea6.5±4.410.1±7.80.047-7.00-0.05
      Follow-up sample
      Heart rate at 6 months follow-up72.0±13.073.0±14.00.926-7.646.95
      Systolic blood pressure at 6 months follow-up130.0±21.0127.0±21.00.669-9.6314.95
      Diastolic blood pressure at 6 months follow-up72.0±12.067.0±12.00.217-2.5511.14
      Heart rate at 12 months follow-up72.0±15.076.0±17.00.445-12.805.65
      Systolic blood pressure at 12 months follow-up130.0±21.0130.0±16.00.964-12.9312.36
      Diastolic blood pressure at 12 months follow-up72.0±13.069.0±14.00.431-4.7511.06

      Values are presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD). OR: odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, NOAF: new-onset atrial fibrillation, BMI: body mass index

        • View popup
        Table 3

        - Logistic regression analysis for demographics, baseline clinical admission data, biomarkers, electrolytes at presentation.

        VariablesOR95% CIP-value
          LowerUpper 
        Age at visit1.0881.0281.1520.004
        Gender (male)1.4580.2897.3650.648
        Smoking status (smoker)2.3310.6588.2550.190
        Type of MI (STEMI)0.4330.1191.5730.204
        Presentation (late)1.6660.4466.2160.448
        Killip class (overall Killip class effect with Class 4 as the reference category)   0.454
        Killip class 15.7330.304108.1380.244
        Killip class 27.4070.398137.7460.179
        Killip class 31.5760.04357.8940.805
        Presenting heart rate1.0050.9761.0340.742
        Presenting systolic blood pressure0.9780.9501.0070.136
        Presenting diastolic blood pressure1.0390.9951.0850.087
        Brain natriuretic peptide1.0001.0001.0000.137
        Troponin I1.0001.0001.0000.748
        Creatinine1.0000.9941.0070.974
        Sodium1.0110.9571.0680.694
        Potassium1.0640.4562.4800.886
        Urea1.0230.8951.1690.744
        Treatment given (overall treatment given effect with PCI as the reference category)   0.039
        CABG7.9501.47342.8970.016
        Medical treatment0.7530.1164.8910.767
        Major adverse cardiac event (MACE) during PCI12.1451.133130.2200.039

        OR: odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, NOAF: new-onset atrial fibrillation, MI: myocardial infarction, STEMI: ST elevation myocardial infarction, CABG: coronary artery bypass graft surgery

          • View popup
          Table 4

          - Logistic regression analysis for demographics, baseline clinical admission data, biomarkers, electrolytes at presentation and follow-up data.

          VariablesOR95% CIP-value
            LowerUpper
          Age at visit1.0831.0091.1640.028
          Gender (male)1.1650.2086.5270.862
          Smoking status (smoker)1.9840.20918.8080.551
          Type of MI (STEMI)0.4320.1011.8520.258
          Presenting heart rate1.0060.9661.0470.787
          Presenting systolic blood pressure0.9750.9371.0130.192
          Presenting diastolic blood pressure1.0350.9741.1010.267
          NT-pro-brain natriuretic peptide1.0001.0001.0000.968
          Troponin I1.0001.0001.0000.456
          Creatinine0.9890.9651.0140.392
          Sodium1.0200.9151.1370.726
          Potassium0.9100.3152.6310.862
          Urea1.0690.8071.4170.640
          Heart rate at 6 months follow-up0.9980.9321.0690.956
          Systolic blood pressure at 6 months follow-up0.9890.9381.0430.685
          Diastolic blood pressure at 6 months follow-up0.9900.9071.0800.817
          Heart rate at 12 months follow-up1.0130.9561.0740.654
          Systolic blood pressure at 12 months follow-up1.0140.9681.0620.562
          Diastolic blood pressure at 12 months follow-up0.9890.9201.0620.751

          OR: odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, NOAF: new-onset atrial fibrillation, MI: myocardial infarction, STEMI: ST elevation myocardial infarction

            • View popup
            Table 5

            - Logistic regression analysis using backward stepwise elimination for comorbidities, complications, and medications administered.

            VariablesOR95% CIP-value
              LowerUpper 
            Prior MI4.0401.35912.0110.012
            Clopidogrel0.3320.1170.9420.038
            Oral hypoglycaemic0.2660.0780.9130.035
            Unfractionated heparin5.0141.60615.6590.006
            Ticagrelor0.2970.0960.9190.035
            Low molecular weight heparin3.2681.1019.7070.033
            Ventricular tachycardia12.2972.94151.4180.001
            Constant0.057  0.000

            The overall model was statistically significant (χ2=27.713, p<0.05). OR: odds ratio, CI: confidence interval, MI: myocardial infarction

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            Incidence, clinical predictors, and clinical effect of new-onset atrial fibrillation in myocardial infarction patients
            Fayez Elshaer, Abdulelah H. Alsaeed, Sultan N. Alfehaid, Abdulaziz S. Alshahrani, Abdulrahman H. Alduhayyim, Ayman M. Alsaleh
            Saudi Medical Journal Aug 2022, 43 (8) 933-940; DOI: 10.15537/smj.2022.43.8.20220349

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            Incidence, clinical predictors, and clinical effect of new-onset atrial fibrillation in myocardial infarction patients
            Fayez Elshaer, Abdulelah H. Alsaeed, Sultan N. Alfehaid, Abdulaziz S. Alshahrani, Abdulrahman H. Alduhayyim, Ayman M. Alsaleh
            Saudi Medical Journal Aug 2022, 43 (8) 933-940; DOI: 10.15537/smj.2022.43.8.20220349
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